Personally I thought I was doing well on my predictions
the first day of the tourney. Then it all started to unravel. Day 2 brought
some of the big upsets that very few people anticipated and many tourney
brackets fell victim.
So how do you go about making predictions for the
tourney? Why are some teams seeded higher than others? There are many thoughts
that go into all of this and we see every year that even the smartest analyst
cannot predict all the games accurately.
In fact I will go a step farther and make this claim:
Very seldom does the best team in college basketball win the tourney… but the seeding
is usually very accurate.
If you look back over the years of the tourney: only once
has all four number 1 seeds been in the Final Four; only once has an overall
number 1 seed won the title (they just began giving an overall seeding in
2004); never has a 16-seed beaten a 1 seed… and so on.
What the rankings/seedings do is give us a pretty good
picture of consistency of teams; yet in a one-and-done format like this
tournament there will be many upsets.
All of that to get to this week’s point. I believe the
teams that win their conferences (especially the major conferences) have proven
to be more successful than the team that wins the tourney. Winning the
conference shows a steady consistency throughout the year. In sports we rely
heavily on averages – the overall season shows the average of how a team plays.
In the tourney a team that is not as good can have a great night while the
stronger team struggles and an upset happens.
This year we had (2) “#15”-seeds beat “#2”-seeds. If you
take those teams and play them in a series against one another, the higher seed
will probably win 8 or 9 out of every 10 games. But the tourney is called March
Madness for a reason – there is “madness.” Although the losses for the “#2”-seeds
are devastating and heartbreaking, they do not diminish very successful seasons
for those squads.
Coaches will often say, “we want to be playing our best
basketball in March.” That is a solid goal; we should want to be getting better
as the season progresses. Yet I don’t think it means the games in November are
meaningless. The goal should be daily playing our best; success is realizing
that our “best” should be ever-changing, growing.
In our Christian lives I would say it this way: Be your
best today! Yes I hope we all keep growing, but our goal should be consistency,
faithfulness, our “best” for the Lord today in everything we do! There will be
times we stumble, but that should not cause us to forget or ignore a life of faithfulness.
Philippians 3:14 tells us to “press on” – a picture of
faithfulness. Colossians 3:17 and 23 tells us to do everything in our lives as “unto
the Lord.”
Proverbs 20: 6 Most men will proclaim each his own goodness,
But who can find a faithful man? 7 The righteous man walks in his integrity;
His children are blessed after him.
But who can find a faithful man? 7 The righteous man walks in his integrity;
His children are blessed after him.
All of that to say, I am not as
concerned in our lives with individual moments of glory and greatness as I am
with lives of faithfulness!
No comments:
Post a Comment